Lok Sabha elections 2019: Will prime minister Narendra Modi win 2019 General elections? Will he power BJP to a similar victory margin like 2014? Or, will the Congress topple BJP and come back to power with the support of regional parties? As Fitness Challenge becomes the latest fad on social media, an ABP News-CSDS survey throws light on Modi’s popularity today, and what can happen if General Elections in the country and Assembly polls in the state are called today.
In 2014, Modi powered BJP to a landslide victory. That was the first time in around three decades when any party won a full majority on its own in the Lok Sabha polls. Since 2014, several surveys have suggested Modi’s popularity remains high.
Let us check what is the latest mood of the nation, as per the ABP News-CSDS survey:
– Maharashtra: NDA-48%, UPA – 40%, others – 21% if Assembly elections are held in the state today. However, to achieve this vote share, BJP will have to fight with Shiv Sena and continue to ally with the regional party. In 2014, the vote share was 51% for NDA.
– Madhya Pradesh: Congress is likely to surprise BJP. The Congress is likely to get 49% vote share, BJP just 34% and others 17% if Assembly elections are held in the state today.
– – Eastern India: Huge gain for Modi – The Survey finds that the NDA continues to be popular in eastern India. If Lok Sabha elections are held today, NDA will likely get 86-94 out of 142 seats; UPA 22-26 and others 26-30.
In 2014, NDA had won just 58 seats in eastern India; UPA 21; Others 63.
– West Bengal: Mamata Banerjee reins supreme.If elections are held today in the state, Banerjee’s TMC will likely get 44% vote share, BJP just 24%, Left 17% and Congress 11%.
– Rajasthan: Bad news for BJP. The Congress is likely to make a huge gain in this BJP-ruled state. If assembly elections are held in the state today, Congress may get 44% vote share, BJP 39% and others 17%. In 2013, the BJP had 45% vote share, Congress 33%, and others 22%.
– Bihar: BJP-JD(U) ahead. It seems most of the people of Bihar are happy with JD(U)-BJP government led by Nitish Kumar. The survey suggests if elections are called in Bihar today, BJP and JD(U) alliance will perform exceptionally well while the Congress-RJD are likely to lose again.
According to the survey, 60% of people have supported NDA, while UPA is favored by just 34% people and 6% others. In 2014, 51% supported NDA, 28% UPA, 21% others.